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POLITICAL TIMELINE

LatAm elections

Two years of results and the next two years of scheduled votes across Latin America, in date order. The table opens on today: scroll up for what voters decided, down for what's coming and where polling stands.

19 held · 17 scheduled · reviewed 13 Sep 2026 · Jump to today

Date Country Election Winner / poll leader Direction Synopsis
6 Oct 2024 Runoff 27 Oct Brazil Municipal Result Result pending update Centrão parties took most mayoralties: PSD 891, MDB 863, PP 752, União 591, PL 518; Lula's PT 252. São Paulo: Ricardo Nunes (MDB) re-elected, 59.4% to 40.6% over Lula-backed Guilherme Boulos. Continuity, centre Centrão dominant; PL gains, PT weak About 150 million voters across more than 5,500 municipalities. Centrist and centre-right parties won the bulk of offices, while Bolsonaro's PL added about 170 mayoralties and the PT made limited progress despite Lula's backing — read as a signal for 2026. France 24, 7 Oct 2024 · AS/COA, 17 Oct 2024
27 Oct 2024 Runoff 24 Nov Uruguay Presidential, legislative & plebiscites Result Result pending update Yamandú Orsi (Frente Amplio) beat Álvaro Delgado (Partido Nacional) in the runoff, 49.8% to 45.9% of votes cast. Both plebiscites — social-security reform and night-time police raids — failed. Shift left From Lacalle Pou's coalition to Frente Amplio The Frente Amplio returned after five years of centre-right coalition rule. Voters rejected the union-backed pension plebiscite, which would have lowered the retirement age and abolished private pension funds — an outcome investors had watched closely. Orsi took office on 1 March 2025 with a divided parliament. Al Jazeera, 25 Nov 2024 · Infobae, 27 Oct 2024
5 Nov 2024 Puerto Rico Governor, legislature & status plebiscite Result Result pending update Jenniffer González-Colón (PNP) won the governorship with about 41% (certified), ahead of Juan Dalmau (PIP–MVC alliance, about 33%). Pablo José Hernández (PPD) won resident commissioner. Non-binding plebiscite: about 57% statehood. Continuity, right Pro-statehood PNP keeps the governorship The PNP kept the governorship and both chambers, but voters split the ticket by sending the PPD's Hernández to Washington. Dalmau's second place was the independence camp's best result in decades. The status vote is non-binding; only Congress can act on it. Results were certified in January 2025. PBS NewsHour (AP), 6 Nov 2024 · Puerto Rico Report, 18 Jan 2025
15 Dec 2024 Bolivia Judicial Result Result pending update Partial popular vote for the top judicial and constitutional courts; 19 of 26 posts filled. Non-partisan Delayed, partial vote for judges Postponed from 2023, which extended sitting judges' terms and fed the Arce–Morales rift. Court challenges meant voting for some posts went ahead in only part of the country. Unlike 2011 and 2017, valid votes outnumbered blank and null protest ballots. VOA (AP), 15 Dec 2024
9 Feb 2025 Runoff 13 Apr Ecuador Presidential & legislative Result Result pending update Daniel Noboa (ADN) beat Luisa González (Revolución Ciudadana) in the runoff, about 56% to 44%. First round: Noboa 44.3%, González 43.8%. Continuity, right Noboa wins a full term A near-tie in the first round turned into an 11-point runoff win, giving Noboa a full four-year term. González, backed by Rafael Correa, alleged fraud without producing evidence. Turnout was above 83%, and security dominated the campaign. France 24 (AFP), 14 Apr 2025 · PBS (AP), 10 Feb 2025
11 May 2025 Uruguay Departmental & municipal Result Result pending update Partido Nacional won 13 of 19 departments; Frente Amplio held Montevideo (Mario Bergara) and Canelones and regained Río Negro; the Colorado Party kept Rivera. Continuity, right Partido Nacional keeps most departments The first test for the Orsi government. The Frente Amplio extended its long hold on Montevideo, though with a lower vote, while the interior stayed largely centre-right and Salto went to the new Coalición Republicana label. El Observador, 12 May 2025
25 May 2025 Venezuela Legislative & regional Result Result pending update PSUV-led bloc took 82.7% of the National Assembly vote and 23 of 24 governorships. Contested Chavismo sweeps amid opposition boycott Held after the disputed July 2024 presidential result. María Corina Machado's camp called a boycott while Henrique Capriles' faction took part. The electoral council reported 42% turnout, a figure the opposition and independent analysts dispute. Al Jazeera, 26 May 2025
1 Jun 2025 Mexico Judicial Result Result pending update First popular election of judges: 881 federal posts, including a smaller nine-seat Supreme Court, plus state posts. Turnout about 13%. Hugo Aguilar Ortiz became chief justice. Non-partisan No party labels; Morena-aligned candidates prevailed Turnout was about 13%, against roughly 60% in the 2024 presidential vote. Candidates seen as close to Morena won most Supreme Court seats. Critics flagged risks to judicial independence and legal certainty for investors and under USMCA; the government called the vote a success. NBC News, 2 Jun 2025 · AS/COA, 2 Jun 2025
27 Jul 2025 Venezuela Municipal Result Result pending update PSUV won 285 of 335 mayoralties; the opposition 50, including Chacao, Baruta and El Hatillo. Contested Ruling party expands local control A low-participation local vote, with turnout figures disputed between the electoral council and other counts. Chavismo raised its mayoralties from 212 in 2021 and took 22 of 23 state capitals as main opposition sectors abstained. MercoPress, 28 Jul 2025
17 Aug 2025 Runoff 19 Oct Bolivia Presidential & legislative Result Result pending update Rodrigo Paz (PDC) beat Jorge ‘Tuto’ Quiroga (Libre) in the runoff, 54.5% to 45.5%. MAS was reduced to 2 seats in the lower house. Shift right Ends nearly 20 years of MAS rule Bolivia's first-ever presidential runoff. Paz rose from low single digits in polling to top the first round as MAS collapsed amid dollar and fuel shortages and inflation of about 20%. He took office on 8 November 2025. AS/COA, 20 Oct 2025 · Americas Quarterly, 20 Oct 2025
26 Oct 2025 Argentina Legislative midterm Result Result pending update Milei's La Libertad Avanza won about 41% nationally and 15 of 24 districts, lifting its lower-house bloc above one-third of seats; it narrowly carried Buenos Aires province. Continuity, right Milei strengthened in Congress Came weeks after a heavy LLA defeat in the 7 September Buenos Aires provincial election rattled markets, and after a US Treasury currency-support deal of at least US$20bn. Turnout was about 68%, the lowest since 1983. The peso, bonds and equities rallied the next day. Americas Quarterly, 27 Oct 2025 · Buenos Aires Herald, 26 Oct 2025
16 Nov 2025 Ecuador Referendum Result Result pending update All four questions rejected, including foreign military bases (No about 60%) and a constituent assembly (No about 61%). Rebuke to government Voters reject all of Noboa's proposals Noboa's first electoral defeat, seven months after his re-election. Voters kept the 2008 constitution and its ban on foreign military bases, which he sought to lift for US security cooperation. Pre-vote polls had pointed to approval. Al Jazeera, 17 Nov 2025
16 Nov 2025 Runoff 14 Dec Chile Presidential & legislative Result Result pending update José Antonio Kast (Partido Republicano) beat Jeannette Jara (Communist Party, governing left coalition) in the runoff, about 58% to 42%. First round: Jara 26.9%, Kast 23.9%, Parisi 19.7%. Shift right From Boric's left coalition to Kast The first presidential vote with compulsory voting for the whole electorate. Right-wing candidates combined for more than half the first-round vote, and the runoff margin was among the widest since 1990. Kast is the most right-wing president since the return to democracy. Americas Quarterly, 17 Nov 2025 · PBS (AP), 14 Dec 2025
30 Nov 2025 Honduras Presidential & legislative Result Result pending update Nasry Asfura (National Party) 40.3% narrowly beat Salvador Nasralla (Liberal Party) 39.5%; Rixi Moncada of the ruling LIBRE was third with about 19%. Declared winner on 24 December 2025. Shift right From Castro's LIBRE to the National Party A margin under one point took 24 days to confirm, with counting twice suspended over technical failures. US President Trump endorsed Asfura, alleged fraud without evidence, and pardoned former National Party president Juan Orlando Hernández during the count. Al Jazeera, 24 Dec 2025 · Al Jazeera, 4 Dec 2025
1 Feb 2026 Costa Rica Presidential & legislative Result Result pending update Laura Fernández (Pueblo Soberano) won outright with about 48%, ahead of Álvaro Ramos (PLN) at about 33%; her party took 31 of 57 Assembly seats. Continuity, right Chaves's former chief of staff succeeds him Fernández ran on continuing Rodrigo Chaves's hard line on crime as homicides hit record highs. She cleared the 40% threshold, making the April runoff unnecessary, and her party won an absolute majority, though short of a supermajority. Al Jazeera, 2 Feb 2026 · AS/COA, 2 Feb 2026
8 Mar 2026 Colombia Legislative & inter-party primaries Result Result pending update Senate: Pacto Histórico 25 of 103, Centro Democrático 17, Liberal 13. House: Centro Democrático 32 of 183, Liberal 31, Pacto Histórico 29. Paloma Valencia (CD) won the right's Gran Consulta. Split result Left leads Senate, right leads House Turnout was about 51%. No party came close to a majority, so governing will require broad coalitions. Comunes (ex-FARC) left Congress as its guaranteed seats expired. The leading presidential contenders, Iván Cepeda and Abelardo de la Espriella, stayed out of the primaries. France 24, 9 Mar 2026 · ABColombia, 18 Mar 2026
22 Mar 2026 Runoff 19 Apr Bolivia Subnational (governors & mayors) Result Result pending update President Paz's alliance won only 2 of 9 governorships (La Paz, Beni); Santa Cruz went to Juan Pablo Velasco (Libre) and Cochabamba to a Morales-aligned candidate. Rebuke to government Paz's alliance loses most regions A record number of governorships went to runoffs, and several capital mayoralties were won with under 25%, showing extreme fragmentation after the MAS collapse. The result leaves Paz with a weak subnational base; Bolivia also elected its first two women governors. MercoPress, 20 Apr 2026 · Latinoamérica 21, 4 Apr 2026
12 Apr 2026 Runoff 7 Jun Peru Presidential & bicameral Congress Result Result pending update Keiko Fujimori (Fuerza Popular) beat Roberto Sánchez (Juntos por el Perú) in the runoff, 50.13% to 49.87% — about 50,000 votes. Continuity, right Right wins after congress-backed interim governments Fujimori won on her fourth attempt in one of the closest runoffs on record, decided by overseas votes. Sánchez alleged fraud without evidence; monitors reported no irregularities, and the electoral board proclaimed her in early July. First election for the restored Senate. Al Jazeera, 3 Jul 2026
31 May 2026 Runoff 21 Jun Colombia Presidential Result Result pending update Abelardo de la Espriella (right-wing outsider) beat Iván Cepeda (Pacto Histórico) in the runoff, 49.66% to 48.70%. Shift right From Petro's left to De la Espriella The narrowest runoff in Colombian history, about 251,000 votes on a record 63.6% turnout. The Trump-endorsed outsider had never held office. Cepeda challenged ballot boxes before conceding on 24 June; Petro recognised the result. Inauguration was 7 August. AS/COA, 22 Jun 2026 · France 24, 24 Jun 2026
Today · 1 Oct 2026 Held above · scheduled below
4 Oct 2026 Runoff 25 Oct Brazil General: president, governors, Congress Polling Result pending update Lula (PT) 39%, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) 32%; runoff Lula 46%, Flávio 44% — Datafolha, 1–3 Sep 2026. Quaest (30 Aug–1 Sep): runoff 42–41. Toss-up Left incumbent vs. right challenger Lula seeks a fourth term. Both major polls put the runoff within the margin of error. Also on the ballot: all 27 governors, two-thirds of the Senate, the full Chamber of Deputies and state assemblies. Voting is compulsory; a runoff follows if no one tops 50% of valid votes. Gazeta do Povo (Datafolha), 3 Sep 2026 · Gazeta do Povo (Quaest), 2 Sep 2026
4 Oct 2026 Paraguay Municipal Polling Result pending update Asunción: Camilo Pérez (ANR) 43.6%, Soledad Núñez 24.6%, undecided 22.1% — Grau & Asociados, 26–27 Aug 2026. Continuity, right Governing Colorados lead the capital Mayors and councils in 263 districts, including Asunción, for 2026–2031, in a single plurality round. Candidates came out of party primaries on 7 June. A mid-term test for President Santiago Peña's Colorado Party ahead of the 2028 general election. Diario HOY, 1 Sep 2026
4 Oct 2026 Peru Regional & municipal Polling Result pending update Lima: Renovación Popular list headed by Rafael López Aliaga 20.1%, Carlos Bruce (Somos Perú) 17.1%; 47% undecided — IEP, 4–10 Sep 2026. Toss-up Right-leaning lists lead Lima, within margin About 13,000 posts for 2027–2030, including 25 regional governors and all mayors, with some 26 million voters. Immediate re-election of governors and mayors is barred. A governor needs 30% of valid votes or faces a runoff. Voting is compulsory. La República (IEP), 12 Sep 2026 · Infobae, 3 Sep 2026
29 Nov 2026 Ecuador Sectional (local) & CPCCS Polling Result pending update No recent polling. Quito: incumbent Pabel Muñoz among 10 candidates; Guayaquil: Cynthia Viteri (government-backed) among 8. Unclear No recent polls; fragmented fields Elects 23 prefects, 222 mayors, councillors, rural boards and seven members of the citizen-participation council. The electoral council brought the vote forward from February 2027 because of El Niño flood risk. Ecuador's sixth vote in under four years. Primicias, 1 Aug 2026 · Expreso, 11 Sep 2026
13 Dec 2026 Runoff 21 Feb Haiti General & constitutional referendum Polling Result pending update No polling; candidate registration still open (final list due 14 Oct 2026). Unclear No elected incumbent; open field Would be the first national vote since 2016; the date already slipped from 30 August. Prime Minister Fils-Aimé has governed alone since the transitional council's mandate ended in February. The electoral council says the calendar depends on security and funding, with gangs controlling most of Port-au-Prince. Haitian Times, 28 Jul 2026 · Haïti Policy House, 8 Sep 2026
28 Feb 2027 El Salvador General: president, Assembly, municipal Polling Result pending update Nuevas Ideas (Bukele) 88% presidential vote intention — Data Poll, published 21 Jul 2026. Opposition tickets: ARENA (Mayteé Iraheta), FMLN (Rafael Aguirre). Continuity, right Bukele heavy favourite for re-election The first combined vote under the July 2025 reforms, which allow indefinite re-election, lengthen the term to six years, abolish the runoff and bring the vote forward from 2029. Opposition parties call the reforms unconstitutional. The winner takes office on 1 June 2027. Infobae, 24 Aug 2026 · Infobae (Data Poll), 21 Jul 2026
6 Jun 2027 Mexico Midterm: 500 deputies, 17 governorships Polling Result pending update Morena 48% effective vote; PAN 15%, PRI 13%, MC 12% — Buendía & Márquez for El Universal, published 7 Sep 2026. Continuity, left Morena leads a fragmented opposition INE opened the process on 10 September with more than 19,000 posts at stake, including the Chamber of Deputies and 17 governorships such as Nuevo León, Sonora and Chihuahua. Campaigns run 4 April–2 June. The second judicial election was moved to 2028. PorEsto, 10 Sep 2026 · Diario de Tabasco (Buendía & Márquez), 7 Sep 2026
27 Jun 2027 Runoff 22 Aug Guatemala General: president, Congress, municipal Polling Result pending update No recent vote-intention polling; candidacies are not yet formal. Unclear Arévalo term-limited; no current polls President Bernardo Arévalo cannot run again. The official call is due 22 January 2027, with campaigning from 29 March. A CID Gallup survey found 68% lack confidence in the election, against a backdrop of long-running disputes between the government, the prosecutor's office and the courts. AGN, 30 Jun 2026
2027 Cuba Municipal & National Assembly Polling Result pending update No polling; single-party system. Non-competitive Party-vetted single candidate lists In July the National Assembly kept five-year terms for municipal delegates, and official media say municipal and national elections follow in 2027; no date has been set. National Assembly candidate lists match the number of seats. Granma, 29 Jul 2026
24 Oct 2027 Argentina General: president, half of Deputies, a third of Senate Polling Result pending update Axel Kicillof (PJ) 33.7%, Javier Milei (LLA) 32.4%; runoff Kicillof 46.1%, Milei 37.4% — Tendencias, 24–29 Aug 2026 (online). Other polls differ. Toss-up Right incumbent vs. Peronist challenger Milei would seek re-election. A first-round win needs 45%, or 40% with a 10-point lead; otherwise a runoff follows. The government wants to scrap the PASO primaries but lacks the votes. Early polling is sparse and inconsistent this far out. Perfil (Tendencias), 11 Sep 2026 · La Nación, 3 Aug 2026
31 Oct 2027 Colombia Regional: governors, mayors, assemblies Polling Result pending update No polling yet; no declared candidates credibly reported. Unclear No polling yet Elects 32 governors and 1,102 mayors, including Bogotá, Medellín and Cali, plus assemblies and councils for 2028–2031, in a single plurality round. The first local test under President De la Espriella. El País (Cali), 12 Sep 2026
Nov 2027 Nicaragua General: co-presidency, Assembly Polling Result pending update No polling; opposition participation barred. Non-competitive Opposition barred; FSLN control Pushed back from November 2026 by the reform that created the Ortega–Murillo co-presidency and six-year terms; month not officially confirmed. In July Ortega said there would be ‘no more elections’. A further reform barring ‘traitors’ and extending terms to seven years passed first reading on 1 September. Infobae, 1 Sep 2026 · El Heraldo, 2 Sep 2026
6 Feb 2028 Costa Rica Municipal (84 cantons) Polling Result pending update No polling; party registration open until February 2027. Unclear Local contest; no polling Mayors and councils in all 84 cantons — the first local elections under President Laura Fernández, who took office in May 2026. Delfino, 3 Aug 2026
20 Feb 2028 Dominican Republic Municipal Polling Result pending update No recent municipal polling. Unclear Bellwether for the May general Nationwide election of mayors and councils three months before the general election, and an early read on the governing PRM's standing after President Abinader. Party primaries are on 3 October 2027. Diario Libre, 26 Feb 2026
Apr 2028 Paraguay General: president, Congress, governors Polling Result pending update No recent polling; President Peña is barred from re-election and nominees are not set. Unclear Term-limited right incumbent; no polls A single-round plurality vote for a one-term, five-year presidency, plus Congress and governors; exact date not yet set, by precedent late April. Party primaries are expected in late 2027. The Colorado Party has long dominated, making its nominee the key variable. Diario HOY, 17 Aug 2026
21 May 2028 Runoff 25 Jun Dominican Republic General: president, Congress Polling Result pending update Leonel Fernández (FP) 38.5%, David Collado (PRM) 35.7%, Gonzalo Castillo (PLD) 13.9% — national poll, pollster not named, 22–24 Jul 2026. By party: PRM 30.1%, FP 28.2%. Toss-up PRM leads by party, FP by candidate President Luis Abinader is constitutionally barred from another term, so the PRM must choose a successor against Fuerza del Pueblo and a recovering PLD. A runoff follows if no one passes 50%. Relevant for continuity on fiscal and tax reform. El País Dominicano, 30 Jul 2026 · Diario Libre, 26 Feb 2026
4 Jun 2028 Mexico Judicial (second phase) Polling Result pending update No polling; no party labels on the ballot. Non-partisan Judges elected without party labels Moved from 2027 by a constitutional reform after the electoral institute warned combined 2027 elections would be unmanageable. The reform cuts the number of candidates, simplifies ballots, adds integrity vetting, and lets a requested presidential recall vote coincide with an election. Senado de la República, 29 May 2026

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How to read this

Direction describes the outcome relative to the outgoing government or the previous composition of the body elected, using the way mainstream international press characterizes the winners. It is analytical shorthand, not an endorsement. For scheduled votes it reflects current polling; "toss-up" means the leaders are within the margin of error, and "unclear" means there is no recent polling.

Polls are named with pollster and date. Rows cover national elections, referendums, and nationwide local cycles in the larger markets; runoffs share a row with their first round. Every row links to its sources. Corrections are dated, per the methodology.